Earthquake prediction algorithm M8

Outline

What is earthquake prediction?

Stages of earthquake prediction

M8 algorithm

General scheme

Data

Prediction aimed at magnitude M0

Trailing averages

Rate and acceleration of activity

Linear concentration of main shocks

Characteristic of clustering

Vector of description

Criterion abnormal values

Rules for issuing an alarm

Standard values of parameters

Criterion in the phase space

Trajectory in CI#116, Central California

M8 algorithm performance

Worldwide performance of earthquake prediction algorithms M8 and M8-MSc: Magnitude 8.0 or more.

Worldwide performance of earthquake prediction algorithms M8 and M8-MSc: Magnitude 7.5 or more.

Conclusions

Some References

Some References (cont.)

Some References (cont.)

Some References (cont.)