Test
period
Large earthquakes
Total     Predicted by
             M8   M8-MSc
Percentage
of alarms
M8 M8-MSc
Significance,
%
M8 M8-MSc
99.86 99.98
99.61 99.87
    9      8      7
    7      6      5
34.9  18.0
30.2  15.3
1985-2001
1992-2001
Sixth Workshop on Non-Linear
Dynamics and Earthquake Prediction
The Abdus Salam ICTP, Miramare
22/10/2001
20