| Stages of earthquake prediction |
|
|
|
|
| l | Term-less
prediction of earthquake-prone areas |
||
| l | Prediction of
time and location of an earthquake |
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| of certain magnitude |
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| Spatial, in
source zone size L |
| Temporal, in
years |
|
|
|
|
| Long-term 10 |
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| Intermediate-term 1 |
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| Short-term 0.01-0.1 |
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| Immediate 0.001 |
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|
|
|
| Long-range up to 100 |
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| Middle-range 5-10 |
||
| Narrow 2-3 |
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| Exact 1 |
||
|
|
|
|
|
| Sixth
Workshop on Non-Linear |
||||
| Dynamics and Earthquake Prediction |
||||
| The Abdus Salam ICTP, Miramare |
||||
| 22/10/2001 |
| 4 |