M8 algorithm performance
l Retrospectively (Keilis-Borok and Kossobokov, 1990)
the standard version of the algorithm was applied
to predict the largest earthquakes (with M0
ranging from 8.0 to 4.9) in 14 regions.
25 out of 28 predicted in 16% of the space-time
considered.
l Modified versions in 4 regions of lower seismic
activity predicted
all the 11 largest earthquakes in 26 % of the space-
time considered.
Sixth Workshop on Non-Linear
Dynamics and Earthquake Prediction
The Abdus Salam ICTP, Miramare
22/10/2001
19