Test
period
Large earthquakes
Total     Predicted by
             M8   M8-MSc
Percentage
of alarms
M8 M8-MSc
Significance,
%
M8 M8-MSc
99.58 99.99
92.22 96.91
    37   24    14
    25   13     7
42.0  12.0
40.0  12.6
1985-2001
1992-2001
Sixth Workshop on Non-Linear
Dynamics and Earthquake Prediction
The Abdus Salam ICTP, Miramare
22/10/2001
21