MSc vs. Activity
MSc outperforms simple alternatives –
l Nonempty cells;
l Most active cells that contain (a) 1/8, (b) 1/4, (c)
1/3 of the recent seismic activity.
The same, as obtained with MSc, number of correct
localizations is achieved by MAC(1/3), which
narrows down the alarm area to 28%.
Compare with 14% for MSc.
Sixth Workshop on Non-Linear
Dynamics and Earthquake Prediction
The Abdus Salam ICTP, Miramare
22/10/2001
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