| Are earthquakes predictable? |
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| Statistical significance above 99% level is |
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| established for prediction of earthquakes by the |
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| algorithms M8 and MSc (Mendocino Scenario). |
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| The evaluation is based on the results of a real- |
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| time intermediate-term prediction of the largest |
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| earthquakes in Circum Pacific seismic belt, |
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| 1992-present. |
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| Predictions are completely reproducible. |
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| Sixth
Workshop on Non-Linear |
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| Dynamics and Earthquake Prediction |
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| The Abdus Salam ICTP, Miramare |
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| 24/10/2001 |
| 3 |