Current state:
There were no earthquakes with M
6.3 during last 18 months
The results of SSE prediction 1989 - 2008.7
California
Current state:
There were no earthquakes with M 6.3 during last 18 months
The results of SSE prediction 1989 - 2008.7
| Origin Earthquake | Will a subsequent shock occur ? |
Outcome of prediction |
Note | Details |
|
Loma-Prieta 7.1 10/18/1989 |
NO |
Confirmed |
||
|
Mendocino 6.9 7/13/1991 |
NO |
Confirmed |
||
|
Mendocino 7.1 8/17/1991 |
NO |
Confirmed |
||
|
Joshua Tree 6.3 4/23/1992 Landers 7.6 6/28/1992 Northridge 6.8 1/17/1994 |
YES
YES
NO |
Confirmed
False alarm
Confirmed |
Landers is predicted
M=7.6
Northridge M=6.8 occurred 19 days after end of alarm |
|
|
Mendocino 7.1 4/25/1992 |
NO |
Confirmed |
||
|
Mendocino 7.1 9/1/1994 Mendocino 6.8 2/19/1995 |
NO
NO |
Failure to predict
Confirmed |
Earthquake with M=6.8 occurred |
|
|
California 6.3 Nevada border 9/12/1994 |
YES |
Confirmed |
Earthquake with M=5.5 occurred |
|
|
Hector Mine 7.4 10/16/1999 |
NO |
Confirmed |
||
|
San-Simeon 6.4 12/22/2003 |
YES |
False alarm |
Parkfield earthquake occur 17km out of alarm area |
